Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele vs Maria Toma Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Daniele's recent second serve points won stands at 37.71%, slightly lower than Toma's 38.35%. Could this slight edge make a significant difference?
• In return games, Daniele excels by winning 56.33% of opponent's second serve points, surpassing Toma’s 50% achievement. This could indicate a stronger return game overall for Daniele.
• Toma has a slight advantage in first serve returns, winning 37.11% of points compared to Daniele's 35.53%.
• Daniele saves 44.14% of breakpoints under pressure, while Toma shows a marginally better performance at 47.28%.
• Both players have a similar match win percentage over the last year, with Daniele at 46.81% and Toma at 46.94%.
• On their preferred surfaces, Daniele performs best on clay with a 51% win rate, whereas Toma achieves a 50% win rate on indoor hard courts.
• Daniele has won more matches in lower-tier tournaments ($10K), with a 48.15% win rate compared to Toma's 39.29% in the same category.
• Past direct matches favor Toma, having won their only head-to-head encounter in two straight sets on a clay surface.
• Opponent quality shows Toma facing tougher competition, with opponents averaging ranks of 290.73, compared to Daniele's 405.83.
• In deciding sets over the last 12 months, Daniele performs better with a 47% win rate against Toma’s 36%.
• Daniele’s breakpoint conversion rate is higher at 42.71%, compared to Toma’s 40.25%, indicating potential effectiveness in crucial points.

Editorial Prediction (August 5, 2025, UTC):

As we evaluate the upcoming match between Daniele and Toma, several key statistics provide insights into potential outcomes. Toma holds a narrow lead in second serve points; however, Daniele demonstrates superior returns on opponents' second serves, especially significant in matches where returns can set the tone.

Though Toma has historically saved more breakpoints, Daniele exhibits a stronger performance in converting breakpoint opportunities, suggesting the potential to capitalize during critical moments. Their head-to-head record favors Toma, but Daniele's better results in decisive set scenarios over the past year cannot be overlooked.

With Daniele's preferred surface being clay, where their overall win rate shines, and considering Toma's previous victories in their meetings, the match outcome seems closely matched. Nevertheless, given the nuances of Daniele's return game and their success in break-point scenarios, Daniele appears slightly favored to emerge victorious in this encounter.